scarlet oak (Quercus coccinea)
Model Reliability: Medium
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 11.6 | 5.3 | 18038 | N/A |
| RFimp | 16.8 | 3.2 | 15717 | 0.87 |
| CCSM45 | 22.9 | 2.6 | 17672 | 1.12 |
| CCSM85 | 25.7 | 2.6 | 19680 | 1.25 |
| GFDL45 | 25.6 | 2.6 | 19621 | 1.25 |
| GFDL85 | 26.5 | 2.5 | 19217 | 1.22 |
| HAD45 | 23.4 | 2.6 | 17681 | 1.12 |
| HAD85 | 24.8 | 2.5 | 17893 | 1.14 |
| GCM45 | 28.5 | 2.2 | 18329 | 1.17 |
| GCM85 | 29.1 | 2.2 | 18934 | 1.2 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Scarlet oak is widely distributed (8.9% of area), dense, common, but with low IV, throughout the broad Appalachian belt. The medium reliable model indicates no overall change in the quantity of habitat under either scenario, but that the range of habitat extends northeasterly, extending all the way into Maine. However, the SHIFT model largely limits those northern locations from being naturally colonized within 100 years, though a fairly large northward expansion has some possibility. It has medium adaptability and an overall rating of fair capability to cope with the changing climate. SHIFT does indicate the species appropriate for infilling when conditions allow.
Family: Fagaceae
Guild: persistent, large-seeded, advance growthdependent
Functional Lifeform: medium-size deciduous tree
| 4.6 | -0.35 |
| 0.71 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact scarlet oak's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Vegetative reproduction Environment habitat specificity Edaphic specificity
Primary Negative Traits
Insect pests Disease Fire topkill