chinkapin oak (Quercus muehlenbergii)
Model Reliability: Medium
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 4.9 | 4.5 | 6460 | N/A |
| RFimp | 6.4 | 2.5 | 4749 | 0.74 |
| CCSM45 | 12.4 | 1.6 | 5656 | 1.19 |
| CCSM85 | 14.4 | 1.5 | 6211 | 1.31 |
| GFDL45 | 16.7 | 1.6 | 7923 | 1.67 |
| GFDL85 | 20.6 | 1.5 | 9266 | 1.95 |
| HAD45 | 15.1 | 1.5 | 6426 | 1.35 |
| HAD85 | 16.4 | 1.3 | 6247 | 1.32 |
| GCM45 | 19 | 1.2 | 6668 | 1.4 |
| GCM85 | 22 | 1.1 | 7242 | 1.52 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Chinkapin oak is a narrowly distributed (5.1% of area), sparse, low IV, but common species in the west-central portion of the eastern US. The medium reliability model suggests 'No change' in overall habitat quantity but it does suggest some northward expansion of its range, especially under RCP 8.5. However, the SHIFT model largely limits those new habitat locations from being naturally colonized within 100 years, though some expansion into this region has possibility. It is moderately adaptable to a changing climate, with an overall capability rating of fair.
Family: Fagaceae
Guild: persistent, large-seeded, advance growthdependent
Functional Lifeform: medium-size to large deciduous tree
| 4.8 | 1.18 |
| -0.66 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact chinkapin oak's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Temperature gradient