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willow oak (Quercus phellos)

Model Reliability: Low



Current Forest Inventory and Analysis under Current Conditions
Current Forest Inventory and Analysis under Current Conditions
(DISTRIB-II + SHIFT)
HQCL Legend Help
Importance Value
GCM SCENARIO % Area Occ Ave IV Sum IV Future/Current IV
Actual7.1510366N/A
RFimp8.62.871530.69
CCSM4518.92.7151892.12
CCSM8524.93216273.02
GFDL4522.62.9194452.72
GFDL8527.63245463.43
HAD4524.33.2226333.16
HAD8529.33.2274023.83
GCM4525.32.6190892.67
GCM8530.62.7245273.43

Regional Summary Tree Tables

 Cautions  Model Info  FAQ

 Interpretation Guide


Willow oak is narrowly distributed (5.9% of area), sparse, low IV, but common in the southern US, and its low reliable model predicts an increase in suitable habitat (but classed as 'No change' because area <10%) with expansion up the eastern seaboard especially under RCP 4.5. The SHIFT model contrains some northward movement but there is some probability of the species moving up the eastern seaboard within 100 years. Its adaptability is medium and its overall capability to cope with climate change is fair. SHIFT models it to be a good infill species.



Family:  Fagaceae

Guild: persistent, large-seeded, advance growthdependent

Functional Lifeform: large deciduous tree

4.7 0.63
-0.01 Model Reliability Low

MODFACs
What traits will impact willow oak's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:

 Primary Positive Traits

Seedling establishment Temperature gradient

 Primary Negative Traits

Shade tolerance


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https://www.fs.usda.gov/nrs/atlas/tree/831