black oak (Quercus velutina)
Model Reliability: High
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 22.6 | 6.8 | 45035 | N/A |
| RFimp | 31.6 | 4.3 | 39890 | 0.89 |
| CCSM45 | 54.6 | 3.9 | 63365 | 1.59 |
| CCSM85 | 61.6 | 4.5 | 80640 | 2.02 |
| GFDL45 | 63.1 | 4.6 | 85174 | 2.14 |
| GFDL85 | 65.1 | 5 | 96268 | 2.41 |
| HAD45 | 62.6 | 4.6 | 84543 | 2.12 |
| HAD85 | 62.5 | 4.9 | 89147 | 2.23 |
| GCM45 | 64.6 | 4.1 | 77732 | 1.95 |
| GCM85 | 65.8 | 4.6 | 88725 | 2.22 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Black oak is a widely distributed (19.8% of area), dense, high IV, and abundant species across the central 2/3 portion of the eastern US. Its highly reliable model predicts an increase in habitat, increasing its range up to the Canadian border across most of the eastern US. However, the SHIFT model largely limits those new habitat locations from being naturally colonized within 100 years, though some expansion into this region has possibility. Its adaptability is rated as medium. Its overall capability rating to cope with a changing climate is very good, and SHIFT indicates it to be a very good infill species.
Family: Fagaceae
Guild: persistent, large-seeded, advance growthdependent
Functional Lifeform: medium-size to large deciduous tree
| 4.9 | 0.51 |
| 0.42 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact black oak's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Drought Environment habitat specificity
Primary Negative Traits
Insect pests Disease