live oak (Quercus virginiana)
Model Reliability: High
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 4.6 | 19.9 | 26951 | N/A |
| RFimp | 6.8 | 12.6 | 25122 | 0.93 |
| CCSM45 | 22.3 | 9.5 | 62323 | 2.48 |
| CCSM85 | 46.8 | 10.1 | 139177 | 5.54 |
| GFDL45 | 37.1 | 9.4 | 102763 | 4.09 |
| GFDL85 | 60.1 | 10.1 | 178965 | 7.12 |
| HAD45 | 42.7 | 10.1 | 127287 | 5.07 |
| HAD85 | 73.9 | 11.7 | 254786 | 10.14 |
| GCM45 | 45 | 7.4 | 97466 | 3.88 |
| GCM85 | 75.5 | 8.6 | 191010 | 7.6 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Live oak has a narrow distribution (4.9% of area), dense, and high in IV (FIAiv=19.0, fifth highest of all species); it is of common abundance across the extreme southern portion of the US. Its highly reliable model predicts, similar to other species abundant in the southwestern portion of the study region (e.g., post oak, winged elm), a surprisingly large increase in suitable habitat, especially under RCP 8.5. However, the SHIFT model dramatically limits those new habitat locations from being naturally colonized within 100 years, though some natural expansion northward could be quite likely. It is rated as medium adaptable and its overall capability is good (RCP 4.5) to very good (RCP 8.5).
Family: Fragaceae
Guild: persistent, large seeded, fast growing
Functional Lifeform: shrubby to medium to large evergreen tree
| 5 | 0.93 |
| 0.03 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact live oak's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Primary Negative Traits
Disease Fire topkill