bluejack oak (Quercus incana)
Model Reliability: Low
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 0.8 | 2.7 | 626 | N/A |
| RFimp | 1 | 1.1 | 319 | 0.51 |
| CCSM45 | 1.2 | 1 | 361 | 1.13 |
| CCSM85 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 908 | 2.85 |
| GFDL45 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 699 | 2.19 |
| GFDL85 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 1487 | 4.66 |
| HAD45 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1623 | 5.09 |
| HAD85 | 8 | 1.3 | 3034 | 9.51 |
| GCM45 | 5.7 | 0.5 | 894 | 2.8 |
| GCM85 | 9.3 | 0.7 | 1810 | 5.68 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Bluejack oak is narrowly distributed (0.6% of area), sparse, low IV, and very rare in the southern portion of the eastern US. Its low reliable model suggests an expansion of habitat (still classed as 'No change' as area <10%) but with erratic locations northward, especially under RCP 8.5. However, the SHIFT model largely limits those new habitat locations from being naturally colonized within 100 years, though some expansion into this region has possibility. It is moderately adaptable to a changing climate but its low abundance yields an overall capability rating of poor.
Family: Fagaceae
Guild: pioneer, dry site tolerant, fast growing
Functional Lifeform: small deciduous tree
| 4.8 | 0.66 |
| 0.03 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact bluejack oak's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?: