Siberian elm (Ulmus pumila)
Model Reliability: Current Distribution Only
Current Distribution Only
The model reliability (ModRel) for Siberian elm was too low (< 0.14), therefore only the current Forest Inventory & Analysis distribution is shown.
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 0.6 | 18.3 | 3346 | N/A |
| RFimp | 0.6 | 7.1 | 1339 | 0.4 |
| CCSM45 | 0.7 | 6.2 | 1202 | 0.9 |
| CCSM85 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 1381 | 1.03 |
| GFDL45 | 0.8 | 5.7 | 1420 | 1.06 |
| GFDL85 | 1.2 | 5.4 | 1832 | 1.37 |
| HAD45 | 0.8 | 5.8 | 1335 | 1 |
| HAD85 | 0.8 | 5.9 | 1428 | 1.07 |
| GCM45 | 1 | 4.7 | 1319 | 0.98 |
| GCM85 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 1547 | 1.16 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Siberian elm is a non-native covering 1.4% of the eastern US, mostly in the grassland regions of the western section. It has been heaviliy planted as windbreaks historically. It can be dense and with high IV (FIAiv=18.3, sixth highest of all species). We were not able to model it.