Version 3

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scarlet oak (Quercus coccinea) Model Reliability: High Model Reliability High
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Current Distribution Maps for scarlet oak

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>Current Forest Inventory and Analysis for scarlet oak
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Current Forest Inventory and Analysis

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Climate Change Scenario Maps Model Reliability High

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Hadley - High Scenario for scarlet oak
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HadleyCM3 – A1FI (High, "Harsh") Climate Scenario

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Ranked Maps of the Predictors Used in the Model

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Ultisol (%)
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Ultisol (%)

Potential Changes in Abundance and Range (Future)
GCM SCENARIO % Area Occ Ave IV Sum IV Future/Current IV
Actual FIA 20 2.3 4,577 NA
Modelled Current 25.5 1.8 4,565 NA
GCM3Avg-Lo 20.3 1.6 3,211 0.7
GCM3Avg-Hi 23.7 1.4 3,153 0.69
PCM-Lo 22.7 1.7 3,717 0.81
PCM-Hi 24.6 1.6 3,867 0.85
GFDL-Lo 21.4 1.6 3,280 0.72
GFDL-Hi 25.6 1.3 3,253 0.71
Hadley-Lo 19.4 1.6 3,012 0.66
Hadley-Hi 24.1 1.2 2,852 0.62

    Cautions & Model Info


Notice:

This is version 3 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas. You can view version 4 of the Tree Atlas, or the most current scarlet oak page.

About scarlet oak

Family:  Fagaceae

Guild: persistent, large-seeded, advance growthdependent

Functional Lifeform: medium-size deciduous tree

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Climate Change Adaptability

4.6 -0.35
0.71 Model Reliability High

MODFACs
What traits will impact scarlet oak's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:


 Positive Traits

  • Vegetative reproduction
  • Environment habitat specificity
  • Edaphic specificity

 Negative Traits

  • Insect pests
  • Disease
  • Fire topkill

Learn More About the Models

Summary of Predicted Changes

Range and Niche Maps

Predictor Analysis



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