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Cone Crop History and FrequencyLocal climatic effects, elevation, and stand and tree condition all influence the frequency of cone crops. The best information on seed crop frequency is a locally maintained historic record of cone crops by species. The Silvics of North America includes estimates of intervals between collectable crops. Although some trees will produce cones during most years, the number of cones must be sufficient to make the collection worthwhile. Good to bumper crops may occur on average just 1 in every 3 years. In some cases, the interval between good crops may be as long as 10 to 15 years. The seed crop history for a specific site also can be reconstructed by examining and aging old cones in the litter and duff, aging cone scars on the tree, and by examining growth rings in the tree (narrow rings may indicate good cone crops). Refer to Region 6 Tree Improvement Paper Number 9 for procedures. Factors Affecting Cone and Seed ProductionAlthough plants produce an abundance of flowers, seed, and fruit, most of the seeds are destroyed by environmental conditions (mostly weather), predation, and insects. Monitoring cone and seed development is the only sure way to determine whether there is a crop that is worth collecting. Flower formation starts when vegetative meristem tissue changes its pattern of division to produce floral tissue, also referred to as bud differentiation. A variety of controls, both internal and external, affect this change. Some of the internal biochemical controls can be affected by soil fertility, temperatures, light intensity, and hormone levels. External controls are primarily environmental effects. For seeds to develop, pollen production and dispersal must be synchronized to allow fertilization. The pollen crop may be susceptible to many of the same controls as the cone crop. Environmental controls are primarily related to weather and predation. A number of environmental conditions should be observed while predicting a cone crop:
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