jack pine (Pinus banksiana)
Model Reliability: Medium
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2.7 | 12 | 9492 | N/A |
| RFimp | 3.8 | 7.6 | 8418 | 0.89 |
| CCSM45 | 3.9 | 5.5 | 6226 | 0.74 |
| CCSM85 | 4 | 5.2 | 6031 | 0.72 |
| GFDL45 | 3.7 | 5.2 | 5657 | 0.67 |
| GFDL85 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 5552 | 0.66 |
| HAD45 | 3.9 | 5.1 | 5858 | 0.7 |
| HAD85 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 5542 | 0.66 |
| GCM45 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 5942 | 0.71 |
| GCM85 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 5719 | 0.68 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Jack pine is a narrow ranged, sparse, but high importance species, found across 2% of the eastern US. Models suggest a small decrease (up to 40%) in suitable habitat even though they also show a slight increase in area. However, it rates highly for adaptability (drought tolerant) and is fairly abundant so that we suggest a good capability rating. SHIFT also suggests it may be a good infill species, mostly under RCP 8.5.
Family: Pinaceae
Guild: pioneer, dry-site, shade intolerant
Functional Lifeform: small-medium evergreen conifer
| 5.2 | 1.87 |
| -1.24 | ![]() |
MODFACs
What traits will impact jack pine's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Drought
Primary Negative Traits
Shade tolerance Insect pests

