balsam poplar (Populus balsamifera)
Model Reliability: Medium
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3.2 | 6.6 | 6126 | N/A |
| RFimp | 3.9 | 4.4 | 5083 | 0.83 |
| CCSM45 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2134 | 0.42 |
| CCSM85 | 2.2 | 3 | 1943 | 0.38 |
| GFDL45 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 1645 | 0.32 |
| GFDL85 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 1557 | 0.31 |
| HAD45 | 2.1 | 3 | 1860 | 0.37 |
| HAD85 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 1966 | 0.39 |
| GCM45 | 2.7 | 2.4 | 1893 | 0.37 |
| GCM85 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 1825 | 0.36 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Balsam poplar is a far north species (2.3% of area), sparse, but with high IV when present. Its medium reliable model suggests substantial decreases in habitat (area and importance) may occur under either scenario of climate change. It is moderately abundant and adaptable however, yielding an overall capability rating of poor. The effect of SHIFT is minor.
Family: Salicaceae
Guild: pioneer, moist-site tolerant
Functional Lifeform: medium to tall deciduous tree
| 4 | 0.13 |
| -0.59 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact balsam poplar's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Fire Regeneration Vegetative reproduction
Primary Negative Traits
Shade tolerance Drought