Title:

Forest product market projection data for the Southern Forest Outlook, 2020-2070

Author(s):

Guo, Jinggang; Prestemon, Jeffrey P.

Publication Year:

2024

How to Cite:

These data were collected using funding from the U.S. Government and can be used without additional permissions or fees. If you use these data in a publication, presentation, or other research product please use the following citation:

Guo, Jinggang; Prestemon, Jeffrey P. 2024. Forest product market projection data for the Southern Forest Outlook, 2020-2070. Fort Collins, CO: Forest Service Research Data Archive. https://doi.org/10.2737/RDS-2024-0001

Abstract:

The last decade’s economic, social, and environmental changes have affected the production, consumption, prices, and trade of forest products in the United States, including in the U.S. South. The tabular data included within this publication are projections, 2020-2070, by scenario, quantifying the effects of changes in future societal and biophysical variables on the States of the U.S. South, the country, and the world on the forest sector. Potential changes are modeled with six scenarios that offer alternative trajectories for economic growth, climate warming, technology, and trade openness. Among these are two scenarios exploring (i) the accelerated adoption of mass timber products in construction and (ii) a large, hypothetical increase in trade restrictions. All scenarios are summarized in terms of changes in production, consumption, prices, and trade in forest products. For the U.S. South, projections are reported by Resources Planning Act Region and the two southern subregions (South Central, Southeast) and, for softwood and hardwood industrial roundwood production quantities and prices, softwood and hardwood lumber production quantities, wood pellet production quantities, and jobs for three forest sector North American Industrial Classification System (NAICS) industries, also at the state level. Historical data by product category, 1990-2015, are also provided for context and comparisons. For each state, historical (1999-2019) and projected (2020-2070) data by scenario are provided for annual, Statewide totals of the number of jobs by three industries, including NAICS 113 (Forestry and Logging), NAICS 321 (Wood Product Manufacturing), and NAICS 322 (Paper Manufacturing).

Keywords:

economy; society; Climate change; Climate change effects; Forest Products; Forest products industry; economy; forest product markets; south; national; global; socioeconomic trends; partial equilibrium; spatial equilibrium; production; prices; trade; Resources Planning Act Assessment; RPA Assessment; global; United States; Pacific Coast; Rocky Mountain; North Central; North East; South Central; South East; Alabama; Arkansas; Florida; Georgia; Kentucky; Louisiana; Mississippi; North Carolina; Oklahoma; South Carolina; Tennessee; Texas; Virginia

Related publications:

• Johnston, Craig M.T.; Guo, Jinggang; Prestemon, Jeffrey P. 2021. The FOrest Resource Outlook Model (FOROM): a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2020 RPA Assessment. General Technical Report. SRS-GTR-254. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station. 19 p. https://doi.org/10.2737/SRS-GTR-254
• Johnston, Craig M.T.; Guo, Jinggang; Prestemon, Jeffrey P. 2023. Chapter 7: Forest Products. General Technical Report. WO-GTR-102. Washington D.C.: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. 7-1 - 7-26. https://doi.org/10.2737/WO-GTR-102-Chap7 In: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. 2023. Future of America's Forests and Rangelands: Forest Service 2020 Resources Planning Act Assessment. General Technical Report. WO-GTR-102. Washington D.C.: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. 348 p. https://doi.org/10.2737/WO-GTR-102
• Johnston, Craig M.T.; Guo, Jinggang; Prestemon, Jeffrey P. 2023. RPA forest products market data for U.S. RPA Regions and the world, historical (1990-2015), and projected (2020-2070) using the Forest Resource Outlook Model (FOROM). 2nd Edition. Fort Collins, CO: Forest Service Research Data Archive. https://doi.org/10.2737/RDS-2022-0073-2
• Prestemon, Jeffrey P.; Guo, Jinggang. unknown. Southern Forest Outlook: Markets. General Technical Report. SRS-GTR-276. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station. [In press].

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