eastern hophornbeam; ironwood (Ostrya virginiana)
Model Reliability: Low
GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 17.3 | 2.4 | 12308 | N/A |
RFimp | 17 | 1.6 | 8083 | 0.66 |
CCSM45 | 47.8 | 1.2 | 16994 | 2.1 |
CCSM85 | 61.4 | 1.3 | 23339 | 2.89 |
GFDL45 | 64.3 | 1.3 | 24718 | 3.06 |
GFDL85 | 71 | 1.4 | 28605 | 3.54 |
HAD45 | 58.1 | 1.3 | 21633 | 2.68 |
HAD85 | 59.3 | 1.2 | 21207 | 2.62 |
GCM45 | 66.2 | 1.1 | 21124 | 2.61 |
GCM85 | 72.1 | 1.2 | 24388 | 3.02 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Eastern hophornbeam is widely distributed (14.9% of area), sparse, and with low IV, except for the far eastern portion of the eastern US. The low reliable model shows a large increase in habitat within its current territory of occupancy, and SHIFT indicates most of the new habitat could have at least a small chance of getting naturally colonized within 100 years. It is also highly adaptable, ranking it as very good in its overall capability to cope with a changing climate.
Family: Betulaceae
Guild: persistent, slow-growing understory tolerant
Functional Lifeform: small to medium-size deciduous tree
6.4 | 1.72 |
1.29 | ![]() |
MODFACs
What traits will impact eastern hophornbeam; ironwood's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Shade tolerance Environment habitat specificity Temperature gradient