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Study tour with Forest Service strengthens Peru's fire forecasting system

July 5, 2023

A man in khaki pants and a black t-shirt stands next to and admires a cylindrical, glass encased, large tube with a flame shooting up the middle.
Alan Llazca, from SENAMHI (Perú) inside the Missoula Fire Science Laboratory, tours the Missoula Fire Science Laboratory in Montana. USDA Forest Service  Blanca Ponce.

MONTANA — Experts from the National Meteorology and Hydrology Service of Peru, or SENAMHI, recently spent two weeks at the Missoula Fire Science Laboratory where they pored over fire forecasting models and looked for ways to improve Peru’s fire forecasting system. They were expertly guided by Forest Service fire ecologists. The Peruvian team then spent a week in Arizona and New Mexico visiting emergency operations centers to learn about how fire weather forecasting information is used to help safeguard firefighters and the public.

The number of wildland fires in Peru has increased significantly over the past 20 years, particularly in the Andean region. The fires damage forests and properties, threaten lives and health of people and animals, and influence global climate.

Fire forecasting systems analyze weather and climate, fuels and fire activity to help decision makers pre-position and distribute firefighting assets and improve their fire management strategies. The results of these actions save property and lives.  

"It's important to share what we know and also to be open and learn from each other. Ultimately it makes us appreciate how big and how important the wildfire problem is around the world and it creates connections that will last forever," said Forest Service Fire Ecologist Dr. Matt Jolly, who has been offering international assistance in fire forecasting for 15 years.

SENAMHI is Peru’s lead agency for fire forecasting and will use the knowledge gained in the Forest Service exchange to implement final improvements to its forecasting systems. Its goal is to have a national-level, real-time weather forecasting platform that can accurately reflect meteorological changes and save lives.

Two men, sittign at a desk inside a conference room, stare together at a laptop.
From left, Alan Llazca and Matt Jolly analyzing Peruvian wildfire prediction model in Missoula Fire Science Laboratory.USDA Forest Service Blanca Ponce.

Blanca Ponce, a member of the regional fire program and a participant of the study tour, highlighted the importance of knowledge exchange between countries.

"The initiative has allowed us to finalize and apply all the work of these recent years. We have a better understanding of the index and its components,” said Ponce.

"One of the missions of the SENAMHI service is to generate information for the population and it is something that is relevant to each of us to see how the information can help the public," said Alan Llacza, who was part of the team from Perú where he works as an advanced analyst in long-term numerical modeling of weather and climate.

The SENAMHI study tour is being supported by Forest Service International Programs which implements the U.S. Agency for International Development’s South America Regional Fire Program.

Group photo inside a conference room.
From left,  Alan Llazca (SENAMHI/Perú), Terrance Gallegos (Santa Fé National Forest), Diego Rodríguez (SENAMHI/Perú), Blanca Ponce (USFS International Programs / Fire Program),  Terrance Gallegos (Santa Fé National Forest), Isidoro Solis (USFS International Programs) in the Santa Fé National Forest Headquarters. Photo courtesy of Renee Isackson.